Hamburger SV II vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
HAM
2 - 0
WER
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
HOL
2 - 2
HAM
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
HAM
2 - 2
CLO
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
EIN
0 - 1
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
STP
3 - 2
HAM
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 1
VFB
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
SVL
1 - 0
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
CLO
0 - 0
SVL
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
EIN
1 - 4
SVL
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
SVL
1 - 2
STP
43%
26%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |