Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
11º
2º
76
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
15 | 15 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 1
HAM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 3
HAN
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
HAM
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
6 - 1
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DRO
4 - 1
HAM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
2 - 1
WER
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 4
LUB
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
2 - 1
HOL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 0
LUB
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
4 - 1
HAN
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |