Regionalliga Nord. Jor. 29

Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck analysis

 Hamburger SV II Phönix Lübeck
55 ELO 58
15.6% Tilt 4.4%
3223º General ELO ranking 2670º
88º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
43.1%
Hamburger SV II
25.1%
Draw
31.8%
Phönix Lübeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.8%
Win probability
Phönix Lübeck
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
 Hamburger SV II
-12%
-2%
Phönix Lübeck

Points and table prediction

 Hamburger SV II
Their league position
Phönix Lübeck
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
18º
65
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hannover 96 II
76
76
100%
SV Meppen
71
71
100%
Phönix Lübeck
65
65
100%
Drochtersen / Assel
61
61
100%
VfB Oldenburg
57
57
100%
Holstein Kiel II
56
56
100%
 Hamburger SV II
51
51
100%
Havelse
49
49
100%
Teutonia Ottensen
48
48
100%
BW Lohne
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bremer SV
11º
46
46
11º
0%
St. Pauli II
12º
43
43
12º
0%
Eintracht Norderstedt
13º
43
43
13º
0%
Jeddeloh
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Weiche Flensburg
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Eimsbütteler TV
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Kilia Kiel
17º
20
20
17º
100%
Spelle-Venhaus
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
 Hamburger SV II
Phönix Lübeck
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

 Hamburger SV II
Phönix Lübeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2024
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 2
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
56%
22%
22%
55 52 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
BWL
BW Lohne
1 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
21%
24%
55%
55 44 11 0
03 Apr. 2024
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
0 - 0
SV Meppen
MEP
36%
25%
39%
55 59 4 0
31 Mar. 2024
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 0
St. Pauli II
STP
55%
22%
24%
54 50 4 +1
15 Mar. 2024
EIM
Eimsbütteler TV
0 - 3
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
30%
25%
46%
53 43 10 +1

Matches

Phönix Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2024
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
1 - 2
Eimsbütteler TV
EIM
71%
18%
11%
58 41 17 0
06 Apr. 2024
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
6 - 0
Weiche Flensburg
WEI
65%
20%
15%
57 50 7 +1
01 Apr. 2024
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
2 - 3
Hannover 96 II
HAN
41%
25%
34%
57 58 1 0
27 Mar. 2024
STP
St. Pauli II
0 - 0
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
30%
25%
45%
57 50 7 0
23 Mar. 2024
MEP
SV Meppen
1 - 0
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
49%
24%
27%
58 59 1 -1
X