Swedish Allsvenskan Round 5

Halmstads vs Mjällby AIF analysis

Halmstads Mjällby AIF
72 ELO 81
-10.6% Tilt 1.2%
1330º General ELO ranking 531º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.4%
Halmstads
27.9%
Draw
45.6%
Mjällby AIF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Halmstads
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.6%
Win probability
Mjällby AIF
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Halmstads
-7%
+28%
Mjällby AIF

Points and table prediction

Halmstads
Their league position
Mjällby AIF
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
11º
16º
14º
53
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mjällby AIF
53
64
93.5%
Hammarby IF
42
56
61.5%
Malmö FF
37
51
27%
AIK Solna
37
49
15%
IFK Göteborg
38
49
19%
GAIS
35
47
18.5%
IF Elfsborg
36
47
21%
Djurgårdens IF
31
45
24%
Häcken
10º
26
40
20.5%
IFK Norrköping
11º
25
39
10º
21%
Brommapojkarna
26
37
11º
33%
IK Sirius
12º
23
37
12º
30%
Osters IF
14º
18
29
13º
40%
Halmstads
13º
21
29
14º
43.5%
Degerfors IF
15º
15
23
15º
59%
IFK Varnamo
16º
12
20
16º
73%
Expected probabilities
Halmstads
Mjällby AIF
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 93.5%
Conference League knock out round
0% 6.5%
Mid-table
49% 0%
Relegation play-offs
43.5% 0%
Relegation
7.5% 0%

ELO progression

Halmstads
Mjällby AIF
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrköping
Osters IF
Degerfors IF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Halmstads
Halmstads
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
NOR
IFK Norrköping
3 - 0
Halmstads
HAL
65%
21%
15%
73 81 8 0
14 Apr. 2025
HAL
Halmstads
1 - 0
Osters IF
OIF
34%
28%
38%
73 75 2 0
05 Apr. 2025
GÖT
IFK Göteborg
1 - 0
Halmstads
HAL
55%
25%
20%
73 81 8 0
30 Mar. 2025
HAL
Halmstads
0 - 5
Degerfors IF
DEG
37%
28%
36%
74 75 1 -1
23 Mar. 2025
OSK
Oskarshamns AIK
1 - 0
Halmstads
HAL
10%
17%
72%
75 48 27 -1

Matches

Mjällby AIF
Mjällby AIF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2025
MJÄ
Mjällby AIF
3 - 1
Hammarby IF
HIF
43%
27%
30%
81 81 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
HÄC
Häcken
0 - 3
Mjällby AIF
MJÄ
57%
22%
21%
81 81 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
MJÄ
Mjällby AIF
1 - 1
GAIS
GAI
48%
26%
25%
81 77 4 0
30 Mar. 2025
ELF
IF Elfsborg
2 - 2
Mjällby AIF
MJÄ
47%
26%
27%
81 81 0 0
22 Mar. 2025
MJÄ
Mjällby AIF
4 - 0
Trelleborgs FF
TRE
66%
20%
14%
81 66 15 0