Halmstads vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
16º
13º
32
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
GAI
3 - 0
HAL
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HAL
0 - 0
HÄC
21%
24%
56%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
4 - 1
HAL
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
HAL
2 - 0
AIK
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 0
HAL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BRO
2 - 3
MFF
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 4
MFF
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OIF
0 - 2
MFF
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
MFF
3 - 1
SAB
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MFF
3 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |