Halmstads vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
12º
45
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
HAL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
SKO
6 - 0
HAL
15%
21%
65%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 0
GÖT
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
TRE
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 3
KAL
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
DJU
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DEG
0 - 2
IFK
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
JON
0 - 3
IFK
33%
24%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 3
MFF
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 0
IFK
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |