Halcones vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 0
HAL
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HAL
0 - 0
XIN
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MUN
3 - 0
HAL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HAL
2 - 2
RET
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
COM
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
VEN
4 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CON
2 - 0
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
XIN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |