Halcones de Zapopan vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
17º
14º
47
1º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RVC
3 - 0
HDZ
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 1
INT
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ADP
1 - 1
HDZ
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 1
PDS
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IRA
0 - 0
HDZ
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAF
2 - 2
CAS
81%
14%
6%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 1
CAF
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAF
2 - 1
TAM
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
CAF
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAF
0 - 1
ESC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |