FC Haka vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
10º
10º
41
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 44 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 26 |
7º
|
81% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
81% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 19 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FFJ
2 - 1
HAK
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KUO
3 - 2
HAK
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HAK
2 - 3
KOO
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 1
HAK
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
GNI
2 - 0
HAK
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
HJK
5 - 1
ILV
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
HJK
1 - 4
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
HJK
2 - 2
ARK
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
GNI
2 - 4
HJK
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
0 - 0
HJK
46%
23%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |