HNK Hajduk Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HKS
2 - 1
SPL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SPL
0 - 1
HKS
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HKS
4 - 0
HNK
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DZG
3 - 1
HKS
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
DZG
2 - 3
ZAD
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 4
RIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OSI
2 - 0
ZAD
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 1
ZAD
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ZAD
4 - 0
ZAG
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |