HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
50
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 2
HKS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
3 - 1
HNG
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
1 - 1
DZG
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
HKS
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TEH
1 - 5
HKS
4%
12%
84%
|
83 | 28 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 0
DZG
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 1
OSI
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 2
OSI
4%
12%
84%
|
83 | 21 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 0
IST
67%
22%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 4
OSI
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |