HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HKS
1 - 2
INT
73%
17%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
HKS
3 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LUK
0 - 3
HKS
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HKS
3 - 1
OSI
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
HKS
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NKV
0 - 2
LUK
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
NKV
0 - 1
IST
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NKV
0 - 1
KAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKV
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |