HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
48
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 1
HKS
26%
29%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 1
LOK
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 0
HNS
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
RIJ
3 - 0
HKS
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
IST
2 - 0
RIJ
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HNG
3 - 2
IST
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IST
3 - 0
DZG
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
RIJ
1 - 0
IST
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
IST
2 - 1
OSI
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |