HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
1 - 1
DZG
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
HKS
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TEH
1 - 5
HKS
4%
12%
84%
|
83 | 28 | 55 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
HKS
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 1
HNG
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DUB
2 - 3
HNG
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 1
HKS
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
RIJ
33%
24%
42%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HNG
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |