Hadley vs Leighton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
7º
18º
8º
42
4º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAD
4 - 1
WAR
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
STC
3 - 2
HAD
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAD
0 - 0
STC
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAD
0 - 1
BED
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAD
6 - 2
LOA
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Leighton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
3 - 1
KEM
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 6
CAM
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
AFD
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
LEI
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
ENF
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |