HFC Haarlem vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
GAE
3 - 1
HFC
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
HFC
4 - 3
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
NAC
2 - 0
HFC
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
GRO
1 - 1
HFC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
HFC
0 - 0
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 0
MVV
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |