Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
GYE
2 - 3
SIH
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 3
GYE
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOK
0 - 1
GYE
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
GWA
2 - 0
GYE
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GIM
1 - 3
GYE
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 1
PAJ
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PAJ
1 - 2
GIM
23%
27%
51%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
DAE
2 - 0
PAJ
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAJ
0 - 0
ULS
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PAJ
4 - 0
JHM
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |