Gyeongju HNP vs Geoje Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
GYE
36%
28%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ULS
2 - 1
GYE
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POC
1 - 0
GYE
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 2
GYE
32%
27%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GYE
1 - 0
DCF
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Geoje Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GCF
0 - 0
DFC
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BIP
1 - 2
GCF
4%
10%
87%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GCF
2 - 0
GAN
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GCF
2 - 0
YAN
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
YES
2 - 1
GCF
23%
23%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |