Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDR
5 - 0
GWA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
GWA
1 - 1
GAN
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GWA
1 - 0
JEO
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
GWA
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
GWA
4 - 2
YON
82%
15%
4%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
GAN
2 - 1
INC
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
INC
49%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
INC
1 - 2
ULS
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 0
INC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
INC
0 - 1
SUW
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |