Gurten vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SPI
0 - 2
GUR
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
GUR
2 - 1
STU
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
STA
1 - 2
GUR
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GUR
2 - 2
GDF
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
WEL
2 - 2
GUR
9%
16%
75%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
3 - 4
TBG
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
2 - 0
ALL
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
SPI
2 - 0
WEI
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
WEI
0 - 1
STU
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STA
1 - 5
WEI
27%
20%
53%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |