Gurten vs Freistadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 1
GUR
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUR
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 0
DON
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GUR
0 - 0
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
GUR
24%
22%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Freistadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SVF
0 - 5
DON
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
WEL
4 - 2
SVF
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
SVF
0 - 2
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BAD
0 - 1
SVF
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SVF
1 - 0
GRI
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |