1ª AF Porto Round 28

Gulpilhares FC vs Os Lusitanos analysis

Gulpilhares FC Os Lusitanos
28 ELO 16
-8.8% Tilt -1.5%
26493º General ELO ranking 26498º
872º Country ELO ranking 877º
ELO win probability
79.5%
Gulpilhares FC
13.5%
Draw
7%
Os Lusitanos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
Gulpilhares FC
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7%
Win probability
Os Lusitanos
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gulpilhares FC
-6%
-42%
Os Lusitanos

ELO progression

Gulpilhares FC
Os Lusitanos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gulpilhares FC
Gulpilhares FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2015
CRE
Crestuma
2 - 2
Gulpilhares FC
GUL
30%
23%
47%
28 22 6 0
12 Apr. 2015
GUL
Gulpilhares FC
1 - 0
FC Pedroso
PED
71%
17%
12%
28 19 9 0
28 Mar. 2015
SSV
Sporting Sao Vitor
0 - 1
Gulpilhares FC
GUL
11%
17%
72%
28 12 16 0
22 Mar. 2015
GUL
Gulpilhares FC
3 - 0
Leverense
LEV
72%
17%
12%
28 19 9 0
15 Mar. 2015
AVI
Avintes
0 - 0
Gulpilhares FC
GUL
22%
22%
56%
29 20 9 -1

Matches

Os Lusitanos
Os Lusitanos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2015
OSL
Os Lusitanos
1 - 1
Senhora da Hora
SHO
62%
20%
18%
15 13 2 0
12 Apr. 2015
CMA
Castêlo da Maia
0 - 1
Os Lusitanos
OSL
75%
15%
10%
14 21 7 +1
29 Mar. 2015
SFM
Sao Félix Marinha
4 - 1
Os Lusitanos
OSL
50%
22%
27%
15 16 1 -1
22 Mar. 2015
OSL
Os Lusitanos
1 - 1
Crestuma
CRE
25%
24%
52%
14 21 7 +1
15 Mar. 2015
PED
FC Pedroso
1 - 1
Os Lusitanos
OSL
67%
19%
15%
14 19 5 0