Guiseley vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
GUI
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 0
YOR
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
CUR
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
BLY
1 - 4
GUI
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 4
ALF
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
BOS
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BLY
0 - 1
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AFC
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |