Guingamp vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
REI
2 - 1
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 4
LYO
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAN
5 - 0
GUI
39%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 0
ANG
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NÎM
0 - 1
NIC
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 0
AMI
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
NIC
3 - 2
AUX
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 1
NIC
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |