Ligue 1 Round 1

Guingamp vs Montpellier analysis

Guingamp Montpellier
79 ELO 83
-22.7% Tilt -10.6%
446º General ELO ranking 249º
22º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
35%
Guingamp
30%
Draw
35.1%
Montpellier

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35.1%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp
-10%
-16%
Montpellier

ELO progression

Guingamp
Montpellier
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 1996
ROT
Rotor Volgograd
2 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
71%
17%
13%
80 83 3 0
31 Jul. 1996
GUI
Guingamp
4 - 0
KamAZ
KAM
64%
21%
16%
80 73 7 0
27 Jul. 1996
KAM
KamAZ
2 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
41%
24%
35%
81 71 10 -1
20 Jul. 1996
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 0
Zemun
ZEM
72%
18%
11%
80 68 12 +1
13 Jul. 1996
KOL
Kolkheti Poti
1 - 3
Guingamp
GUI
58%
21%
21%
80 77 3 0

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 1996
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
53%
25%
22%
84 83 1 0
11 May. 1996
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 0
Le Havre
LHA
56%
25%
20%
83 80 3 +1
27 Apr. 1996
LEN
Lens
2 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
54%
25%
21%
84 85 1 -1
20 Apr. 1996
CAN
Cannes
2 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
47%
27%
26%
84 82 2 0
14 Apr. 1996
NÎM
Nîmes
1 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
23%
25%
53%
84 65 19 0