Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LYO
2 - 0
GUI
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
ETG
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
REN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
LIL
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 1
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
AJA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |