Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
PSG
1 - 3
GUI
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
GUI
2 - 3
LYO
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 1
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
REN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 1
GIR
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LEN
0 - 1
LIL
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
LIL
4 - 1
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 0
LIL
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
TRO
2 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |