Guingamp vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
REN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
GUI
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
5 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 0
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 1
GIR
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
ETG
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |