Guingamp vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 3
AMI
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 2
DIJ
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
GUI
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
AUX
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
AMI
3 - 0
DUN
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
AJA
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
DUN
9%
15%
77%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |