Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
LHA
4 - 0
GUI
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 0
GUI
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
AJA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 5
GUI
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 2
CLE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 3
LMU
49%
27%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ASI
0 - 6
CAE
4%
10%
87%
|
64 | 10 | 54 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
ORL
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
PFC
2 - 4
CAE
41%
30%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |