Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUI
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 1
LMU
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
GUI
0 - 0
DIJ
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
GUI
2 - 0
IST
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
STL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAE
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 3
REI
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LON
0 - 4
CAE
5%
13%
82%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |