Ligue 2 Round 8

Guingamp vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis

Guingamp Girondins Bordeaux
67 ELO 71
-2.4% Tilt 5%
617º General ELO ranking 949º
23º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Guingamp
26.2%
Draw
40.4%
Girondins Bordeaux

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.5%
Win probability
Girondins Bordeaux
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp
-3%
-17%
Girondins Bordeaux

Points and table prediction

Guingamp
Their league position
Girondins Bordeaux
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
50
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
USL Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guingamp
Girondins Bordeaux
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Guingamp
Girondins Bordeaux
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
STL
Stade Lavallois
2 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
34%
27%
40%
68 64 4 0
18 Sep. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
52%
26%
22%
67 63 4 +1
02 Sep. 2023
AMI
Amiens SC
4 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
28%
27%
45%
68 61 7 -1
26 Aug. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
4 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
51%
26%
24%
67 64 3 +1
19 Aug. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes
0 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
26%
26%
48%
68 59 9 -1

Matches

Girondins Bordeaux
Girondins Bordeaux
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes
1 - 2
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
21%
24%
55%
71 60 11 0
02 Sep. 2023
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 4
Auxerre
AUX
42%
27%
32%
72 70 2 -1
26 Aug. 2023
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 0
Amiens SC
AMI
57%
24%
19%
71 62 9 +1
21 Aug. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 0
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
23%
26%
51%
72 65 7 -1
14 Aug. 2023
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
1 - 0
Concarneau
CON
53%
25%
21%
71 66 5 +1