Guingamp vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
REN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
GUI
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
5 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REI
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAN
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
AJA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
MPL
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
LYO
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REN
2 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |