Guingamp vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MON
4 - 0
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
GUI
1 - 0
STR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 3
GUI
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
GUI
2 - 0
SOC
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 2
LIL
30%
31%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SOC
3 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
LHA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
GIR
1 - 0
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |