Guingamp U19 vs Tours U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
3º
2º
16
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
BER
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 0
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
VER
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
GUI
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 3
SAM
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TOU
0 - 2
CHA
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
GUI
4 - 0
TOU
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ANG
4 - 1
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOU
0 - 0
STA
16%
21%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |