Guingamp II vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
3º
21
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 3
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
LAN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
CES
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 1
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 2
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 1
PLA
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
2 - 1
USF
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |