Guilsfield FC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
AAA
2 - 2
GUI
15%
21%
63%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
4 - 0
AAA
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CPD
2 - 1
GUI
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUI
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
7 - 2
BFR
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
8 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CON
0 - 4
TNS
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAE
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |