Guilsfield FC vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
CPD
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RTW
1 - 1
HOL
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 4
HOL
13%
20%
67%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 0
PRE
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 0
DEN
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 3
HOL
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |