FAW Championship Gales North Round 9

Guilsfield FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis

Guilsfield FC Cefn Druids AFC
45 ELO 36
-5% Tilt 2.6%
4882º General ELO ranking 21797º
29º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
66.3%
Guilsfield FC
19.6%
Draw
14.1%
Cefn Druids AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
Guilsfield FC
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Guilsfield FC
Their league position
Cefn Druids AFC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
43
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Guilsfield FC
Cefn Druids AFC
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Guilsfield FC
Cefn Druids AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guilsfield FC
Guilsfield FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2022
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 2
Holywell
HOL
37%
25%
38%
47 48 1 0
29 Aug. 2022
LLA
Llandudno FC
2 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
49%
24%
27%
47 48 1 0
19 Aug. 2022
RTW
Ruthin Town
0 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
39%
25%
37%
46 44 2 +1
13 Aug. 2022
GUI
Guilsfield FC
1 - 3
Prestatyn Town
PRE
71%
18%
12%
47 32 15 -1
06 Aug. 2022
GUI
Guilsfield FC
0 - 1
Ruthin Town
RTW
55%
23%
22%
48 44 4 -1

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
1 - 7
Colwyn Bay
COL
20%
22%
58%
37 50 13 0
29 Aug. 2022
CON
Conwy Borough FC
1 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
25%
21%
54%
37 27 10 0
26 Aug. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
0 - 3
Holywell
HOL
30%
23%
46%
39 47 8 -2
19 Aug. 2022
LLA
Llandudno FC
4 - 0
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
65%
20%
15%
40 49 9 -1
13 Aug. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
2 - 0
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
56%
20%
24%
38 39 1 +2