Guillermo Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
20.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
GBR
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GBR
2 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
GBR
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GBR
2 - 1
MIT
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
GBR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 2
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
SUA
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
INS
3 - 0
SUA
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 2
DEF
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
SUA
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |