Guillermo Brown vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
GBR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 1
GLP
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 2
GBR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 1
DES
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
GBR
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
GIM
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
RIV
32%
31%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
INS
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
GLP
43%
30%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
DYJ
1 - 3
INS
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |