Guillermo Brown vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 2
GBR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GBR
2 - 0
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
JUU
5 - 0
GBR
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GBR
1 - 0
CIP
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
GBR
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 1
ALV
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 0
RSA
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 0
JUU
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIP
2 - 0
ALV
50%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |