Guillermo Brown vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
AND
1 - 3
GBR
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 1
CDN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
GBR
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 0
INS
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
GBR
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
ALM
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
CHA
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 3
ALM
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
ALB
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TAL
0 - 0
ALM
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |