Guijuelo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RUN
3 - 0
CDG
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CDG
1 - 3
RSO
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
OSA
3 - 2
CDG
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CDG
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 0
CDG
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ACF
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 1
EIB
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
ALA
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RUN
2 - 1
ALA
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 1
RSO
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |