Guerreros vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
62.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 1
LOB
17%
26%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 3
GUE
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TIJ
3 - 0
GUE
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 2
VER
16%
25%
60%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UDG
3 - 1
GUE
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
VER
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 3
PUM
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
IRA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
PUM
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 1
DOR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |