FA Cup Malta . 1/16

Gudja United vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis

Gudja United Naxxar Lions FC
59 ELO 54
-6.2% Tilt 2.3%
3478º General ELO ranking 2234º
21º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
47.3%
Gudja United
23.8%
Draw
28.8%
Naxxar Lions FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
Gudja United
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.8%
Win probability
Naxxar Lions FC
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Gudja United
Naxxar Lions FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gudja United
Gudja United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
GZI
Gzira United
1 - 1
Gudja United
GUD
66%
20%
14%
58 70 12 0
16 Dec. 2022
GUD
Gudja United
2 - 1
Mosta
MOS
26%
25%
50%
57 62 5 +1
11 Dec. 2022
GUD
Gudja United
0 - 1
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
21%
26%
54%
58 70 12 -1
04 Dec. 2022
VAL
Valletta FC
0 - 1
Gudja United
GUD
55%
24%
20%
57 64 7 +1
13 Nov. 2022
GUD
Gudja United
0 - 3
Floriana FC
FLO
22%
27%
51%
57 70 13 0

Matches

Naxxar Lions FC
Naxxar Lions FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
1 - 3
Swieqi United
SWI
67%
20%
13%
56 46 10 0
20 Dec. 2022
VIT
Vittoriosa Stars
0 - 6
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
8%
16%
76%
56 32 24 0
16 Dec. 2022
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
3 - 2
Lija
LIJ
63%
20%
17%
56 44 12 0
13 Dec. 2022
SAI
Saint Andrews
0 - 3
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
25%
24%
51%
55 47 8 +1
08 Dec. 2022
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
2 - 0
Melita
MEL
51%
24%
25%
54 52 2 +1
X