Guastatoya vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ACH
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAY
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 0
COB
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
ZAC
2 - 0
SAC
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
SAC
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
SAC
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |