Guastatoya vs Petén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 0
GUA
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
COB
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
ZAC
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Petén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
TEC
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PET
1 - 0
SAC
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
ACH
38%
24%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
COB
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |