Guastatoya vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
TEC
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAC
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAY
1 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
ANT
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 2
AMA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
SAY
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
AMA
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
COB
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |