Guarulhos vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MOG
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
7 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 3
UNI
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 2
GUA
64%
22%
14%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
SJS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
FLA
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
ECN
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |